Daily LATE BLIGHT Forecast Information From BLITECAST: Southwestern PA, 2007
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For Tomatoes and Potatoes             ##############################################
=========================             #  * = Standard sites through Sep 23         #
                                      # ** = EXPERIMENTAL SITES through Sep 23     #
                                      ##############################################
                                                     
How favorable is daily weather for LATE BLIGHT development?  Values presented 
in calendar format indicate favorability of weather for LATE BLIGHT development.
Key:  0-4 = Conditions not very favorable for LATE BLIGHT (0 = least favorable).
      5-28 = Conditions favorable enough to warrant fungicide (28 = most favorable).
      
        ====================   ====================   ====================
LATE    Standard Site *        EXPERIMENTAL SITE **   Standard Site *
BLIGHT  Wash.Co: Finleyville   Butler Co: Butler      Cambria: Loretto
        ====================   ====================   ====================
        Su Mo Tu We Th Fr Sa   Su Mo Tu We Th Fr Sa   Su Mo Tu We Th Fr Sa
        == == == == == == ==   == == == == == == ==   == == == == == == ==
June    ====================   ====================   ====================
01-02:                  2  3                   0  0                   2  5e
03-09:   2  5e 6e 6e 6e 5e 6e   0  1  1  1  1  1  2    5e 9e13e16e16e15e14H
10-16:   6e 3  2  2  4H 4  2    2  1  1  2  2  2  0   13# 9# 5# 2  6# 6# 4
17-23:   2  3  4  6# 4  5# 5#   0  0  0  1  1  1  1    4  5# 5# 7# 3  3  3
24-30:   5# 6# 6# 5# 8#11#11#   2  2  2  1  2  2R 2    3  2  3  2  5# 9# 9#
        ====================   ====================   ====================
July    ====================   ====================   ====================
01-07:  11# 9# 8# 7# 6# 6# 7#   2  2  2  1  0  0  0    9# 9# 8# 8# 8# 8# 8#    
08-14:   7# 7# 7# 8# 7# 3  5#   0  0  0  0  0  0  0    8# 8# 8# 7# 8# 4  4
15-21:   5# 6# 6# 6# 7# 9# 6#   1  1  1  1  1  1  1    4  5# 5# 7# 5# 8# 8#
22-28:   6# 5# 5# 5# 5# 5# 9#   1  1  1  1  1  1  1    9# 8# 8# 9# 9# 7# 9#
29-31:  10#11#11#               2  2  2               11#12#13# 
        ====================   ====================   ====================
August  ====================   ====================   ====================
01-04:           10# 9# 8# 5#            1  1  1  1            11#10#10# 9#  
05-11:   4  7#10#12#15#18#19#   0  4  5# 5# 5# 7# 7#   7# 9#10#13#14#17#18#
12-18:  20#17#14#13#11# 9# 8#   7# 3  2  2  2  1  1   20#18#16#12#12#10# 8# 
19-25:   9#12#16#19#19#18#19#   1  5# 9#13#14#14#14#   6# 9#13#17#19#21#22#
26-31:  18#15#12# 9# 8# 9#     14#10# 6# 2  1  1      24#21#18#16#14#13#  
        ====================   ====================   ====================
Sept.   ====================   ====================   ====================
   01:                     7#                     1                     12# 
02-08:   6# 6# 6# 6# 6# 5# 5#   0  0  0  0  0  0  0    9# 9# 8# 8# 7# 4  4
09-15:   7#10#12#11#10#10#11#   1  3  5# 5# 5# 5# 5#   6# 8#11#10# 9#11#13#
16-22:   9# 5# 2  2  2  1  0    4  2  0  0  0  0  0   11# 8# 5# 4  5# 4  2
23-29:   0  -  -  -  -  -  -    0  -  -  -  -  -  -    2  -  -  -  -  -  -
        ====================   ====================   ====================
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Key: # = BLITECAST indicates late blight protection most important these days.
     Values based on measured Temperature, Relative Humidity, Wetness, & Rain.
     e = Early = BLITECAST indicates that recent weather was favorable for late 
       blight development but the initial thresholds (CS18; 10BFD) were not 
       reached yet.
     R = Rain+Temperature based threshold (10BFD) = 10 Consecutive Blight 
       Favorable Days.  If inoculum is present, symptoms are expected in 
       about 7-14 days. 
     H = Humidity+Temperature based threshold (CS18) = 18 Cumulative Severity 
       Values for the season.  If inoculum is present,  symptoms are expected 
       in about 7-14 days. 
     * STANDARD SITE: Disease forecast developed from quality on-site
       calibrated environmental measurements.
     ** EXPERIMENTAL SITE: Disease forecast developed from experimental data;
       calibration is in progress.  Forecast is for experimental use only.  
       Compare results for Experimental sites with results from nearby 
       Standard sites before considering information from an Experimental site.

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developed by Dr. Alan A. MacNab, Professor, Plant Pathology
Penn State College of Agricultural Sciences
211 Buckhout Lab, University Park, PA  16802
Updated: Sep 24, 2007; EMH
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Where trade names are used, no discrimination is intended
and no endorsement by the Cooperative Extension Service is implied.
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