Daily LATE BLIGHT Forecast Information From BLITECAST: Southeastern PA, 2007
=======================================================================

For Tomatoes and Potatoes             ##############################################
=========================             #  * = Standard sites through Sep 23         #
                                      # ** = EXPERIMENTAL SITES through Sep 23     #
                                      ##############################################
                                                     
How favorable is daily weather for LATE BLIGHT development?  Values presented 
in calendar format indicate favorability of weather for LATE BLIGHT development.
Key:  0-4 = Conditions not very favorable for LATE BLIGHT (0 = least favorable).
      5-28 = Conditions favorable enough to warrant fungicide (28 = most favorable).
      
        ====================   ====================   ====================
LATE    EXPERIMENTAL SITE **   EXPERIMENTAL SITE **   Standard Site *
BLIGHT  Franklin: Waynesboro   Lancaster: Mount Joy   Lancaster: Leola
        ====================   ====================   ====================
        Su Mo Tu We Th Fr Sa   Su Mo Tu We Th Fr Sa   Su Mo Tu We Th Fr Sa
        == == == == == == ==   == == == == == == ==   == == == == == == ==
June    ====================   ====================   ====================
01-02:                  0  0                   1  1                   4  6e
03-09:   0  3  3  3  3  4  4    1  3  3  4  4  4  4    5e 6e 6e 6e 6e 6e 4
10-16:   4  1  1  3  4  4  4    4  1R 1  2  2  2  2    4  0  0  1  1  1  1    
17-23:   4  4  4  2  1  1R 1    2  2  2  2  2  2  2    2  2  2  2  2  2  2
24-30:   1  1  0  0  0  2  2    2  2  3  2  2  3R 3    2  2  3  2  3  4H 4
        ====================   ====================   ====================
July    ====================   ====================   ====================
01-07:   2  2  2  2  2  0  1    3  3  2  2  3  4  4    4  4  3  3  3  2  4    
08-14:   1  1  2  2  2  1  1    4  4  4  4  3  1  1    4  4  4  4  3  1  1
15-21:   1  0  0  0  0  0  0    1  1  1  0  0  0  0    1  0  0  0  0  0  0
22-28:   0  0  0  0  0  0  1    0  0  0  0  0  0  1    0  0  0  0  0  0  1
29-31:   1  3  4                1  2  2                1  2  2  
        ====================   ====================   ====================
August  ====================   ====================   ====================
01-04:            4  4  5# 4             2  2  3  2             2  2  3  2    
05-11:   4  3  2  2  2  4  4    2  1  1  1  1  3  3    2  1  1  1  1  3  3
12-18:   4  2  2  2  2  1  1    3  2  2  2  2  1  1    3  2  2  2  2  1  1
19-25:   1  4  8#12#14#16#17#   1  4  8#12#14#16#18#   1  4  8#12#14#16#18#
26-31:  17#14#10# 6# 4  2      18#15#11# 7# 5# 3      18#15#11# 7# 5# 3  
        ====================   ====================   ====================
Sept.   ====================   ====================   ====================
   01:                     1                      1                      1  
02-08:   0  0  0  0  0  0  0    1  0  0  0  0  0  0    1  0  0  0  0  0  0
09-15:   0  0  2  4  4  4  5#   0  1  2  3  3  3  4    0  1  2  4  4  4  5#
16-22:   5# -  -  -  -  -  -    5# 4  3  2  2  2  1    6# 5# 4  2  2  2  1
23-29:   -  -  -  -  -  -  -    0  -  -  -  -  -  -    0  -  -  -  -  -  -
        ====================   ====================   ====================

--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Key: # = BLITECAST indicates late blight protection most important these days.
     Values based on measured Temperature, Relative Humidity, Wetness, & Rain.
     E = Early = BLITECAST indicates that recent weather was favorable for late 
       blight development but the initial thresholds (CS18; 10BFD) were not 
       reached yet.
     R = Rain+Temperature based threshold (10BFD) = 10 Consecutive Blight 
       Favorable Days.  If inoculum is present, symptoms are expected in 
       about 7-14 days. 
     H = Humidity+Temperature based threshold (CS18) = 18 Cumulative Severity 
       Values for the season.  If inoculum is present,  symptoms are expected 
       in about 7-14 days. 
     * STANDARD SITE: Disease forecast developed from quality on-site
       calibrated environmental measurements.
     ** EXPERIMENTAL SITE: Disease forecast developed from experimental data;
       calibration is in progress.  Forecast is for experimental use only.  
       Compare results for Experimental sites with results from nearby 
       Standard sites before considering information from an Experimental site.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------
developed by Dr. Alan A. MacNab, Professor, Plant Pathology
Penn State College of Agricultural Sciences
211 Buckhout Lab, University Park, PA  16802
Updated: Sep 24, 2007; EMH
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Where trade names are used, no discrimination is intended
and no endorsement by the Cooperative Extension Service is implied.
Return To Calendar Index