Daily LATE BLIGHT Forecast Information From BLITECAST: Northwestern PA, 2007
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For Tomatoes and Potatoes             ##############################################
=========================             #  * = Standard sites through Sep 23         #
                                      # ** = EXPERIMENTAL SITES through Sep 23     #
                                      ##############################################
                                                     
How favorable is daily weather for LATE BLIGHT development?  Values presented 
in calendar format indicate favorability of weather for LATE BLIGHT development.
Key:  0-4 = Conditions not very favorable for LATE BLIGHT (0 = least favorable).
      5-28 = Conditions favorable enough to warrant fungicide (28 = most favorable).

        ====================   ====================   ====================
LATE    EXPERIMENTAL ONLY **   EXPERIMENTAL ONLY **   EXPERIMENTAL ONLY **
BLIGHT  Erie: Fairview         Erie: Corry            Potter: Sweden Valley
        ====================   ====================   ====================
        Su Mo Tu We Th Fr Sa   Su Mo Tu We Th Fr Sa   Su Mo Tu We Th Fr Sa
        == == == == == == ==   == == == == == == ==   == == == == == == ==
June    ====================   ====================   ====================
01-02:                  0  0                   0  0                   0  0
03-09:   0  0  0  0  0  1  1    0  1  1  1  1  2  2    0  2  2  2  2  3  3
10-16:   1  1  1  1R 1  1  1    2  1  1  1R 1  1  1    3  1  1  1R 1  1  0    
17-23:   0  0  0  0  0  0  0    0  0  0  2  2  2  2    0  0  0  0  0  0  0
24-30:   1  1  1  1  1  1  1    3  3  3  1  1  1R 1    0  0  0  0  1  1  1
        ====================   ====================   ====================
July    ====================   ====================   ====================
01-07:   0  0  0  0  1  1  1    1  0  0  0  1  1  1    1  1  1  1  1  1  2    
08-14:   1  1  1  1  0  0  0    1  1  1  1  0  0  0    2  2  2  2  1  0  0
15-21:   0  0  0  2  2  2  2    0  0  0  2  3  3  3    0  0  0  1  1  1  1
22-28:   2  3  3  1  1  1  1    3  3  3  1  1  1  1    2  2  2  1  1  1  2
29-31:   1  1  1                2  2  2                3  3  3  
        ====================   ====================   ====================
August  ====================   ====================   ====================
01-04:            1  1  1  1             1  1  1  1              3  3  3  2    
05-11:   1  4  6#10#10#13#13#   0  3  5# 9# 9#11#12#    0  0  1  3  3  4  4
12-18:  13#10# 7# 3  3  1  1   12# 9# 8# 4  4  1  1    5# 5# 4  2  2  1  1
19-25:   1  1  5# 7# 9#10#10#   1  2  6#10#12#13#13#   1  0  3  7# 9#10#11#
26-31:  10#10# 6# 4  2  1      13#12# 8# 4  2  1      11#11# 8# 5# 4  4  
        ====================   ====================   ====================
Sept.   ====================   ====================   ====================
   01:                     1                      1                      4  
02-08:   0  0  0  0  0  0  0    0  0  0  0  0  0  0    3  3  3  2  2  1  1
09-15:   2  6# 6# 6# 7# 7# 7#   2  6# 6# 6# 7# 7# 7#   3  6# 8# 8# 8# 8# 8#
16-22:   5# 1  1  1  1  0  0    5# 1  1  1  1  2  1    6# 3  1  1  1  2  1
23-29:   0  -  -  -  -  -  -    1  -  -  -  -  -  -    1  -  -  -  -  -  -
        ====================   ====================   ====================

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Key: # = BLITECAST indicates late blight protection most important these days.
     Values based on measured Temperature, Relative Humidity, Wetness, & Rain.
     e = Early = BLITECAST indicates that recent weather was favorable for late 
       blight development but the initial thresholds (CS18; 10BFD) were not 
       reached yet.
     R = Rain+Temperature based threshold (10BFD) = 10 Consecutive Blight 
       Favorable Days.  If inoculum is present, symptoms are expected in 
       about 7-14 days. 
     H = Humidity+Temperature based threshold (CS18) = 18 Cumulative Severity 
       Values for the season.  If inoculum is present,  symptoms are expected 
       in about 7-14 days. 
     * STANDARD SITE: Disease forecast developed from quality on-site
       calibrated environmental measurements.
     ** EXPERIMENTAL SITE: Disease forecast developed from experimental data;
       calibration is in progress.  Forecast is for experimental use only.  
       Compare results for Experimental sites with results from nearby 
       Standard sites before considering information from an Experimental site.

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developed by Dr. Alan A. MacNab, Professor, Plant Pathology
Penn State College of Agricultural Sciences
211 Buckhout Lab, University Park, PA  16802
Updated: Sep 24, 2007; EMH
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here trade names are used, no discrimination is intended
and no endorsement by the Cooperative Extension Service is implied.
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